Wednesday 31 October 2012

Our Best Advice For Investing In Gold is Tread Lightly

Gold generates no income.  It has no revenue. Gold has no business model and doesn’t make anyone’s life better (aside from the obvious “shiny pretty thing” quality).  Investing in gold requires understanding more about your entire portfolio’s behavior with and without the asset class.

Gold Has Value To You

Gold actually has value to you, but not in the sense that you’re probably thinking.  The fact is gold serves an important part to an overall well rounded investment strategy.  Gold is a diversifier!  Though I don’t know if I’d consider it an investment in the purest sense of the word.
You shouldn’t buy gold as an investment however.  I lost a client last year who insisted on investing in gold with 25%+ of his portfolio.  He sold every equity position he had at the absolute market bottom in 2011 in July.  He locked in substantial losses that would have been erased within 6 months (patience my friend…).
Everyone should have some allocation to gold (account size permitting, smaller accounts may not).  Most of our clients have from 2% to 5% in diversified commodities.  Roughly 20% to 30% of that is in gold and other precious metals.

Rebalancing Into And Out Of Gold

Most of our clients last year had new OUTFLOWS from their commodities positions.  Not because we were timing the gold market – but because gold and other commodities had risen.  This presented a problem for as as investment managers.